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2024-12-13 10:24:05

2. The CPI of the United States in November was in line with expectations, and the interest rate cut was stable!In the past two months, domestic capital has flowed out by more than 1.5 trillion yuan. There are mainly three types of funds flowing out. First, some new investors who came in in October stopped playing. The second is that institutional funds run away, and the third is the reduction of industrial capital+size. In a word, institutions must be one of the forces of market smashing. This round of market is not that institutions don't believe in bull market, but that people don't believe in institutions. If they can't get money, they naturally have no market pricing power.As soon as the data came out, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December rose to 97.7%, and there was basically no suspense! The fed's continued interest rate cuts will naturally help our monetary policy to be more relaxed, which is good for the big A!


In January and September, the K-line is a Dayang line that runs through five lines, which is called the dragon going out to sea, which is a strong rising signal of the trend turning point;The above four long-term technical indicators all show that the market trend has changed, from bears to cattle. As far as the general direction and technical indicators are concerned, the market is now on the road to a bull market, and I think the probability is 100%, and there is no contingency.In a bull market, the market is full of liquidity and investors have a high risk appetite, and the stock price is generally higher than the intrinsic value. In a bear market, expectations are pessimistic and liquidity is exhausted, and the stock price is generally lower than the intrinsic value. Although the stock price will deviate from the intrinsic value most of the time, the stock price is infinitely close to the intrinsic value for a long time.


After the imperial court, the Milky Way started to accelerate again, and December was a month of harvest!1. Individual pension funds will be expanded to broad-based index products.In January and September, the K-line is a Dayang line that runs through five lines, which is called the dragon going out to sea, which is a strong rising signal of the trend turning point;

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